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StocksStratQP

Equity · Stocks · Started Jul 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-19.3%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
55
Win Trades
76.4%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
6.8%

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20201.212.1-10.411.3100.6-34.648.4
2021101.2-51.2-37.1-33.6-56.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-82.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/23/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age75 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades55
# Profitable42
% Profitable76.4%
Avg trade duration25.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJuly 31, 2020 - Feb 23, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)-19.3%
Avg win$387
Avg loss$2,294

Ratios

W:L ratio0.55
Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Sortino Ratio-0.37
Calmar Ratio-0.59

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life137.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-210.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-19.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-16.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1310.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,294
Avg Win$387
# Winners42
Sum Trade PL (losers)$29,826
Sum Trade PL (winners)$16,270
Num Months Winners5
# Losers13
% Winners76.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table75

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)37331.85
Avg Position Time (hrs)622.20
Avg Trade Length25.90
Last Trade Ago1947

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.17
Daily leverage (max)2.34

Regression

Alpha-0.05
Beta0.19
Treynor Index-0.21

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.37
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.19
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.19
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.74
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.45
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.22
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.31

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.31
SD0.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df16
t-0.44
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.30
Sortino ratio-0.43
Upside Potential Ratio0.98
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-1.02
Upside SD0.40
Downside SD0.73
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms11
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion-0.31
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.85
Covariance0.03
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.56
Mean Square Error0.76
DF error15
t(b)0.53
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.64
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.71
Jensen alpha (a)-0.56
Mean-0.83
SD1.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.69
df16
t-0.86
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.98
Sortino ratio-0.76
Upside Potential Ratio0.59
Upside part of mean0.64
Downside part of mean-1.46
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD1.08
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms11
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.51
Mean of criterion-0.83
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion1.15
Covariance0.04
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.18
Mean Square Error1.38
DF error15
t(b)0.59
p(b)0.40
t(a)-1.02
p(a)0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.27
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.21
Jensen alpha (a)-1.18
VaR(95%)0.46
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.53
VaR(95%)0.23
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.47
Mean-0.39
SD0.91
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.43
df384
t-0.52
p0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.19
Sortino ratio-0.64
Upside Potential Ratio5.17
Upside part of mean3.14
Downside part of mean-3.53
Upside SD0.67
Downside SD0.61
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms302
N of observations385
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion-0.39
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.91
Covariance0.02
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.20
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.51
Mean Square Error0.82
DF error383
t(b)1.43
p(b)0.08
t(a)-0.68
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.97
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.93
Jensen alpha (a)-0.51
Mean-0.80
SD0.91
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.88
df384
t-1.07
p0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.74
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.74
Sortino ratio-1.19
Upside Potential Ratio4.40
Upside part of mean2.94
Downside part of mean-3.74
Upside SD0.61
Downside SD0.67
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms302
N of observations385
Mean of predictor0.56
Mean of criterion-0.80
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.91
Covariance0.02
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.91
Mean Square Error0.82
DF error383
t(b)1.36
p(b)0.09
t(a)-1.21
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.91
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.20
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6796934996033536
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.80859654747299e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations17
Minimum0.35
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.30
Mean of quarter 10.72
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.23
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.53
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.50
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.74
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.80
Number of observations385
Minimum0.69
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.38
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low94
Percentage of outliers low0.24
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high79
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.87
Median0.87
Quartile 30.87
Maximum0.87
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.06
Quartile 30.33
Maximum0.91
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.18
Mean of quarter 40.66
Inter Quartile Range0.31
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.91
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-399457376
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)207
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.55
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.63
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.05
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.59
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-4.81
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 26 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NNOX long585Apr 16, 2021May 11, 2021($7,078)
NNOX long780Mar 29, 2021Apr 15, 2021($4,085)
NNOX long1000Nov 24, 2020Mar 5, 2021($11,075)
NNOX long1368Nov 24, 2020Nov 24, 2020($2,645)
SUMO long755Sep 21, 2020Nov 24, 2020($860)
TAKOF long7000Sep 24, 2020Nov 24, 2020$639
SAIIU long1355Sep 25, 2020Nov 24, 2020$40
CBLAQ long12500Nov 17, 2020Nov 24, 2020$228
LGVW long45Nov 20, 2020Nov 24, 2020$181
NNDM long25Nov 20, 2020Nov 24, 2020$19
TTCF long85Nov 17, 2020Nov 24, 2020($72)
ELYS long125Sep 25, 2020Nov 24, 2020($31)
BBI long145Sep 24, 2020Nov 24, 2020($10)
SLNG long85Sep 24, 2020Nov 24, 2020($30)
NNOX long270Aug 31, 2020Nov 24, 2020$5,142
CBL long30000Aug 21, 2020Nov 24, 2020($3,756)
IDEX long135Aug 13, 2020Nov 20, 2020$64
AMST long125Sep 25, 2020Nov 20, 2020$21
ADOM long72Sep 24, 2020Nov 20, 2020$16
RZLT long100Sep 24, 2020Nov 10, 2020$1,954
ACB long25Sep 25, 2020Nov 10, 2020$99
MARK long25Sep 24, 2020Oct 16, 2020$1
CURI long500Sep 18, 2020Oct 16, 2020$450
JMIA long1085Aug 19, 2020Oct 14, 2020$3,068
HUSN long5000Sep 24, 2020Sep 25, 2020$203
SXTC long6000Sep 24, 2020Sep 25, 2020$90
SAIIU long400Sep 18, 2020Sep 24, 2020($40)
NWGI long1000Sep 18, 2020Sep 24, 2020($85)
EBAY long15Sep 18, 2020Sep 24, 2020$54
VAPO long150Aug 13, 2020Aug 25, 2020$43

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.