Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Discover Ur Options

Options · Started Jan 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
17.3%
Max Drawdown
47.1%
Trades
177
Win Trades
76.8%
Profit Factor
3.20
Win Months
56.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20205.4-12.8-5.35.42.99.8-0.116.9-3.31.73.57.032.1
2021-1.210.0-2.89.6-2.4-2.510.5-14.72.0-1.6-15.8-8.1-19.3
20220.027.64.0-8.1-15.216.2-5.6-23.527.07.6-5.510.2
202321.3-8.2-0.812.2-3.81.87.07.6-4.7-11.621.84.950.4
20248.15.22.9-10.13.81.0-6.713.80.25.46.93.136.4
20259.12.0-2.2-1.95.9-1.32.40.3-0.6-0.1-6.06.714.1
2026-10.0-2.0-9.77.61.5-2.411.610.90.55.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/6/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age81 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades177
# Profitable136
% Profitable76.8%
Avg trade duration34.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown47.1%
drawdown periodAug 01, 2021 - Oct 12, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)17.3%
Avg win$1,019
Avg loss$1,078

Ratios

W:L ratio3.24
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Sortino Ratio0.76
Calmar Ratio1.66

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.44
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life136.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)52.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)17.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)17.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss50.5%
Chance of 20% account loss20.5%
Chance of 30% account loss4.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,078
Avg Win$1,019
# Winners136
Sum Trade PL (losers)$44,195
Sum Trade PL (winners)$138,531
Num Months Winners45
# Losers41
% Winners76.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct4569

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table81

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)49544.50
Avg Position Time (hrs)825.74
Avg Trade Length34.40
Last Trade Ago1686

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.73
Daily leverage (max)7.07

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.76
Treynor Index0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.06
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.26
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.40
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.00
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.56
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.39
df22
t1.99
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86
Sortino ratio2.87
Upside Potential Ratio4.19
Upside part of mean0.82
Downside part of mean-0.26
Upside SD0.37
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms6
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.56
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.08
r0.73
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error21
t(b)4.96
p(b)0.08
t(a)0.74
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.60
Treynor index (mean / b)0.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.48
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.22
df22
t1.75
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.68
Sortino ratio2.21
Upside Potential Ratio3.50
Upside part of mean0.76
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms6
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.08
r0.76
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error21
t(b)5.33
p(b)0.07
t(a)0.59
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.52
Treynor index (mean / b)0.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.68
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.21
df517
t1.71
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.61
Sortino ratio1.84
Upside Potential Ratio8.48
Upside part of mean3.14
Downside part of mean-2.46
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms258
N negative terms260
N of observations518
Mean of predictor0.47
Mean of criterion0.68
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance0.09
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error516
t(b)11.52
p(b)0
t(a)0.94
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.04
Treynor index (mean / b)0.92
Jensen alpha (a)0.33
Mean0.52
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df517
t1.31
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio7.82
Upside part of mean3.06
Downside part of mean-2.54
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.39
N nonnegative terms258
N negative terms260
N of observations518
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance0.09
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.75
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error516
t(b)11.71
p(b)0
t(a)0.61
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.92
Treynor index (mean / b)0.70
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean1.94
SD0.88
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.18
df130
t1.55
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.97
Sortino ratio3.29
Upside Potential Ratio10.40
Upside part of mean6.12
Downside part of mean-4.18
Upside SD0.66
Downside SD0.59
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion1.94
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.88
Covariance0.23
r0.62
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.47
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error129
t(b)8.96
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.48
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.44
Treynor index (mean / b)1.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.47
Mean1.54
SD0.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.72
df130
t1.22
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.50
Sortino ratio2.45
Upside Potential Ratio9.40
Upside part of mean5.91
Downside part of mean-4.37
Upside SD0.63
Downside SD0.63
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.05
Mean of criterion1.54
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.89
Covariance0.24
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error129
t(b)9.30
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.16
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.12
Treynor index (mean / b)1.17
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations23
Minimum0.77
Quartile 11.00
Median1.05
Quartile 31.13
Maximum1.32
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.19
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.77
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.32
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.38
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.27
Number of observations518
Minimum0.80
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low27
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high43
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum0.80
Quartile 10.98
Median1.01
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.83
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.25
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.09
Median0.18
Quartile 30.23
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.18
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.27
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations37
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.44
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.10
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.25
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.36
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.31
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.64
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.31
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.75
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-446265184
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)437
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.86
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.91
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.74
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.83
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.93
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.38
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)3.80
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.35
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs16.45
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal37.31

Trading record

Placed 145 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MA2221A300 long2Jan 14, 2021Jan 22, 2022($11,986)
V2221A200 long2Jan 14, 2021Jan 22, 2022($5,087)
V2115A210 long1Sep 10, 2020Jan 16, 2021($1,216)
AAPL2115A150 long1Sep 2, 2020Jan 16, 2021($951)
NKLA2115A45 long2Sep 10, 2020Jan 16, 2021($1,855)
NFLX2119C500 long2Jan 12, 2021Jan 13, 2021$2,072
CHWY2119B100 long2Dec 30, 2020Jan 12, 2021$837
NFLX2119C520 long2Dec 28, 2020Dec 31, 2020$2,947
V2221A200 long2Dec 22, 2020Dec 30, 2020$1,767
NIO2115A20 long1Sep 3, 2020Nov 12, 2020$2,250
MSFT2115A215 long1Sep 10, 2020Oct 12, 2020$393
NFLX2115A500 long2Sep 10, 2020Oct 1, 2020$1,152
SNE2018I80 long4Sep 16, 2020Sep 19, 2020($103)
TSLA2016J500 long2Sep 2, 2020Sep 15, 2020$411
DKNG2115A40 long1Sep 2, 2020Sep 2, 2020$108
DKNG2115A35 long1Aug 31, 2020Sep 2, 2020$395
MSFT2016J215 long1Aug 7, 2020Aug 26, 2020$118
NFLX2002J500 long1Aug 21, 2020Aug 26, 2020$813
NIO2115A14 long2Aug 14, 2020Aug 21, 2020$117
V2115A210 long2Aug 11, 2020Aug 20, 2020$422
V2018I190 long1Jul 7, 2020Aug 11, 2020$138
V2115A210 long4Jul 13, 2020Aug 11, 2020$643
V2115A200 long1Jul 31, 2020Aug 5, 2020$348
MSFT2115A220 long2Jul 23, 2020Aug 3, 2020$821
CHWY2016J50 long8Jul 17, 2020Jul 31, 2020$1,268
MSFT2016J220 long1Jul 21, 2020Jul 22, 2020$98
MSFT2018I220 long2Jul 13, 2020Jul 20, 2020$107
MA2115A320 long1Jul 16, 2020Jul 17, 2020$283
CHWY2016J50 long2Jul 14, 2020Jul 16, 2020$167
MA2115A320 long1Jul 13, 2020Jul 15, 2020$493

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.