Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

My Live Portfolio

Equity · Options · Started Sep 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
9.6%
Max Drawdown
76.0%
Trades
871
Win Trades
88.7%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
50.0%
Subscribe Free

About this strategy

I'm a deep value investor with a long term horizon always on the hunt for new discounts. One thing that distinguishes me from the rest is that I don't trade, I invest. With my core focus on producing income, I search for companies with a strong dividend that’s well covered with growing fundamentals. If i'm not putting money into dividend payers, I allocate capital towards select tech(mostly software based) and a very small portion towards small startups.

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-0.20.72.82.15.5
20202.4-5.7-23.528.69.88.82.69.3-2.31.728.87.575.3
20219.59.9-3.03.9-2.415.1-3.2-1.1-1.010.7-10.0-2.325.7
2022-10.3-9.6-1.4-19.4-6.6-12.112.8-2.3-17.56.41.8-16.3-56.4
202321.9-3.12.30.03.213.2-10.8-10.6-11.330.611.142.3
2024-2.32.6-1.3-5.4-0.3-4.812.82.6-0.65.912.6-0.321.3
20255.0-2.8-11.51.66.31.3-1.00.80.80.4-2.11.4-0.9
2026-4.7-5.0-4.88.119.7-4.4-3.35.7-0.78.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/24/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age85 months
C2 Rank26
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades871
# Profitable773
% Profitable88.7%
Avg trade duration57.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown76.0%
drawdown periodOct 26, 2021 - June 29, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)9.6%
Avg win$164
Avg loss$936

Ratios

W:L ratio1.53
Sharpe Ratio0.32
Sortino Ratio0.47
Calmar Ratio0.21

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.60
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life158.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-68.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)9.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)10.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity43.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.7%
Short Options - Percent Covered41.8%
Percent Trades Stocks0.3%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss96.0%
Chance of 20% account loss84.5%
Chance of 30% account loss82.5%
Chance of 40% account loss71.0%
Chance of 50% account loss63.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)48.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)34.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)14.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)737
C2 Score26
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)345

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$936
Avg Win$164
# Winners773
Sum Trade PL (losers)$91,708
Sum Trade PL (winners)$126,984
Num Months Winners42
# Losers98
% Winners88.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct13380

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table85

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)170798.55
Avg Position Time (hrs)2846.64
Avg Trade Length118.60
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.68
Daily leverage (max)3.12

Regression

Alpha0
Beta1.05
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.08
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.09
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades265.74
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)222.98
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades35.93
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.27
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.17
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.46
df65
t1.09
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.30
Sortino ratio0.71
Upside Potential Ratio2.30
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms24
N of observations66
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.06
r0.82
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.58
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error64
t(b)11.62
p(b)0
t(a)-0.98
p(a)0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean0.10
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.27
df65
t0.64
p0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.11
Sortino ratio0.38
Upside Potential Ratio1.93
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.42
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms24
N of observations66
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.06
r0.83
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error64
t(b)12.02
p(b)0
t(a)-1.44
p(a)0.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean0.17
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.44
df1461
t1.04
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.27
Sortino ratio0.65
Upside Potential Ratio8.40
Upside part of mean2.13
Downside part of mean-1.96
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms757
N negative terms705
N of observations1462
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.05
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error1460
t(b)28.59
p(b)0.20
t(a)-0.05
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.10
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.26
df1461
t0.61
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.09
Sortino ratio0.37
Upside Potential Ratio7.99
Upside part of mean2.09
Downside part of mean-1.99
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms757
N negative terms705
N of observations1462
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.05
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error1460
t(b)28.55
p(b)0.20
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Treynor index (mean / b)0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.27
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df130
t0.49
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.46
Sortino ratio1.15
Upside Potential Ratio10.23
Upside part of mean2.38
Downside part of mean-2.11
Upside SD0.31
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.04
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)10.80
p(b)0.10
t(a)-0.24
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)0.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
Mean0.20
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.51
df130
t0.36
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.26
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.29
Sortino ratio0.83
Upside Potential Ratio9.87
Upside part of mean2.33
Downside part of mean-2.14
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.04
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.57
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.14
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)10.76
p(b)0.10
t(a)-0.36
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.28
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.14
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations66
Minimum0.73
Quartile 10.96
Median1.02
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.28
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.75
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.18
Number of observations1462
Minimum0.82
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low33
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high41
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.26
Maximum0.59
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.26
Mean of quarter 40.59
Inter Quartile Range0.23
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations44
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.63
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.75
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.61
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.82
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.80
Number of observations8
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.07
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-468988384
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)611
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.19
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.24
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.24
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.73
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.13
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.79
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.86
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.24
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.39

Trading record

Placed 56 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LMND2604U50 short1Jul 28, 2026Sep 5, 2026$169
GRAB2628T3 short2Jul 28, 2026Aug 29, 2026$15
PYPL2628H62 short1Aug 26, 2026Aug 29, 2026$74
TOST2628T31.5 short1Aug 12, 2026Aug 29, 2026$22
LMND2621T60 short1Jul 14, 2026Aug 22, 2026$259
SOFI2621T16 short2Jul 10, 2026Aug 22, 2026$115
PATH2621H15 short3Jul 28, 2026Aug 22, 2026$46
DKNG2621H35 short1Jun 24, 2026Aug 22, 2026$17
NU2621T12 short2Jun 16, 2026Aug 22, 2026$127
BAM2621T40 short1Jun 24, 2026Aug 22, 2026$74
ARE2621H60 short1Jul 28, 2026Aug 22, 2026$49
BAM2621T37.5 short1Jun 24, 2026Aug 22, 2026$47
DOCN2614H140 short1Jul 28, 2026Aug 15, 2026$339
NU2614T13.5 short1Jul 28, 2026Aug 15, 2026$21
TOST2607T27 short1Jul 28, 2026Aug 8, 2026$17
GRAB2607T3.5 short2Jul 10, 2026Aug 8, 2026$19
TU long400Jun 24, 2026Aug 5, 2026($652)
NU2631S12 short2Jun 16, 2026Aug 1, 2026$63
GRAB2624S3.5 short2Jun 16, 2026Jul 25, 2026$29
MSTZ2617S11 short1Jul 14, 2026Jul 18, 2026$39
SOFI2617S15 short1Jun 16, 2026Jul 18, 2026$25
LMND2617S50 short1Jun 16, 2026Jul 18, 2026$94
OPEN2617G4.5 short2Jun 24, 2026Jul 18, 2026$63
XIFR2617G12 short1Jun 24, 2026Jul 18, 2026$34
SOFI2617S16 short1Jun 16, 2026Jul 18, 2026$48
NU2617S10 short1Jun 3, 2026Jul 18, 2026$20
SOFI2602S15 short1Jun 3, 2026Jul 3, 2026$35
SOFI2602S16 short1Jun 3, 2026Jul 3, 2026$69
SOFI2602S14 short1Jun 3, 2026Jul 3, 2026$15
SOFI2602S15.5 short1Jun 3, 2026Jul 3, 2026$49

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.