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Quant AI SP500

Equity · Stocks · Started Sep 2025

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
47.8%
Max Drawdown
7.4%
Trades
451
Win Trades
88.9%
Profit Factor
7.90
Win Months
69.2%
Subscribe $199/mo

About this strategy

Fully automated quantitative strategy trading the S&P 500 universe (~400 stocks). The algorithm identifies price dislocations on systematically selected stocks and enters positions when stocks deviate significantly from fair value. Take-profit targets are dynamically calculated per position and adjust as market conditions evolve. Position sizing scales with account equity, and the strategy can add to positions during deeper dislocations to improve cost basis. Max 25 concurrent positions. Designed for steady compounding through high-probability gains — 425 trades, profit factor 12.2, Sharpe 2.09, Sortino 4.18. Average trade duration 17 days. Max drawdown -7.5%. Runs during US market hours continuously monitoring cycles.

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20250.2-2.02.21.31.7
2026-0.45.1-2.35.40.41.524.16.9-0.245.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/22/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age12 months
C2 Rank986
Rank at C2 %Top 1.4%
Rank ##10
What it tradesStocks
# Trades451
# Profitable401
% Profitable88.9%
Avg trade duration16.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown7.5%
drawdown periodJan 08, 2026 - Jan 21, 2026
Cumul. Return47.8%
Avg win$99
Avg loss$107

Ratios

W:L ratio7.88
Sharpe Ratio1.99
Sortino Ratio3.95
Calmar Ratio9.66

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.18
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life13.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)34.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)49.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)52.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity2.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss6.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.9%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)936
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)923
C2 Score986
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)897

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$109
Avg Win$99
# Winners402
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,355
Sum Trade PL (winners)$39,743
Num Months Winners9
# Losers49
% Winners89.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1308

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table13

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)23487.88
Avg Position Time (hrs)391.46
Avg Trade Length16.30
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.18
Daily leverage (max)2.50

Regression

Alpha0.10
Beta0.23
Treynor Index0.47

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.49
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.09
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.57
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.41

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.45
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.14
df10
t2.22
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.39
Sortino ratio29.43
Upside Potential Ratio31.06
Upside part of mean0.47
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms4
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.41
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error9
t(b)0.59
p(b)0.29
t(a)1.89
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.91
Treynor index (mean / b)1.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.41
Mean0.42
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.19
df10
t2.27
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.45
Sortino ratio27.76
Upside Potential Ratio29.38
Upside part of mean0.45
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms4
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.42
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.00
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error9
t(b)0.65
p(b)0.27
t(a)1.94
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.84
Treynor index (mean / b)1.44
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.43
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.59
df245
t2.51
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.62
Sortino ratio5.27
Upside Potential Ratio13.33
Upside part of mean1.08
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms135
N negative terms111
N of observations246
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.43
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.40
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error244
t(b)3.14
p(b)0.00
t(a)2.38
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)1.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.40
Mean0.41
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.54
df245
t2.47
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.57
Sortino ratio5.07
Upside Potential Ratio13.11
Upside part of mean1.07
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms135
N negative terms111
N of observations246
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error244
t(b)3.17
p(b)0.00
t(a)2.35
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)1.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.70
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.40
df130
t2.42
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.20
Sortino ratio7.39
Upside Potential Ratio15.52
Upside part of mean1.47
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms54
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.70
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.64
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)2.22
p(b)0.38
t(a)2.23
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.21
Treynor index (mean / b)2.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.64
Mean0.68
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.35
df130
t2.38
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.15
Sortino ratio7.11
Upside Potential Ratio15.22
Upside part of mean1.45
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms54
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.68
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.62
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)2.24
p(b)0.38
t(a)2.21
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.18
Treynor index (mean / b)2.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.62
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.00
Median1.03
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.83
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations246
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.01
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations23
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-13.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-68.96
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-3.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-399847232
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)13
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.56
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.57
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)55.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs55.33
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.34
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.55
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.56
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.21
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal29.30
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.85
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)21.56
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs22.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal44.96

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TSLA long35Sep 8, 2026Sep 8, 2026$172
SNA long9.1Aug 5, 2026Sep 1, 2026($225)
MKTX long12.6Aug 6, 2026Sep 1, 2026$3
KMB long18.2Aug 6, 2026Sep 1, 2026($60)
KEY long81.9Sep 1, 2026Sep 1, 2026($9)
GNRC long37.8Sep 1, 2026Sep 1, 2026$92
VRSN long13.3Aug 6, 2026Aug 27, 2026$101
NUE long7.7Aug 19, 2026Aug 24, 2026$35
DTE long14Aug 4, 2026Aug 18, 2026$44
KO long23.1Aug 7, 2026Aug 18, 2026$41
VFC long273Aug 5, 2026Aug 17, 2026$86
WAT long4.9Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026$28
SWKS long30.1Aug 6, 2026Aug 7, 2026$29
AJG long7.7Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026$5
GEN long71.4Aug 5, 2026Aug 7, 2026$40
EPAM long77.7Aug 5, 2026Aug 6, 2026$263
ACN long12.6Aug 6, 2026Aug 6, 2026($0)
CPT long18.2Aug 5, 2026Aug 6, 2026$20
RTX long9.1Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$33
PNC long7.7Aug 3, 2026Aug 5, 2026$34
ADI long4.9Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$27
BG long18.2Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$36
LIN long3.5Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$24
MHK long14.7Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$36
ETSY long23.1Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$24
CCL long67.9Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$25
URI long1.4Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$16
BKR long32.9Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$29
KLAC long10.5Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026$30
DXCM long23.1Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026$34

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.